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Understanding the Facts: What is the fail rate of Plan B?

4 min read

When taken within 72 hours of unprotected sex, Plan B can reduce the chance of pregnancy by 81 to 90%, but its effectiveness is not 100%. This leads many to ask, "What is the fail rate of Plan B?" The answer is not a single, fixed number, but rather a variable influenced by several critical factors.

Quick Summary

Plan B's effectiveness varies based on when it is taken, a person's body weight, and their menstrual cycle stage. Failure is more likely the longer one waits to take it or if ovulation has already occurred. This article details the factors that affect its success and compares it to other emergency contraception methods.

Key Points

  • Effectiveness Declines with Time: Plan B is most effective when taken as soon as possible after unprotected sex, ideally within 24 hours, and significantly less effective after 72 hours.

  • Plan B Cannot Stop an Existing Pregnancy: The medication works by delaying or preventing ovulation, so if an egg has already been released and fertilized, it will not be effective.

  • Higher Body Weight Can Reduce Effectiveness: Studies suggest that Plan B may be less effective for individuals weighing over 165 pounds or with a BMI over 30, though the FDA notes the data is inconclusive.

  • Drug Interactions Are a Factor: Certain medications and supplements, including St. John's Wort and some anti-seizure drugs, can make Plan B less effective.

  • Confirm Failure with a Pregnancy Test: The only way to know for sure if Plan B failed is to take a pregnancy test if your period is more than a week late.

  • More Effective Alternatives Exist: The prescription pill Ella and the copper IUD are often more effective emergency contraceptive options, especially when taken later or for individuals with higher body weight.

  • Plan B Does Not Harm a Fetus: If Plan B fails and a pregnancy occurs, studies have not found any evidence that the medication causes harm to the developing fetus.

In This Article

Plan B Effectiveness: A Closer Look at the Data

The phrase "fail rate" implies a fixed percentage, but for emergency contraceptives like Plan B (levonorgestrel), effectiveness is a sliding scale. Studies indicate a wide range of effectiveness depending on the timing of consumption. According to Planned Parenthood, if taken within 72 hours of unprotected sex, Plan B and its generic counterparts are 75% to 89% effective. This means the potential failure rate for users can range from 11% to 25%. However, other data points to even higher success rates within a shorter window. The sooner Plan B is taken, the more effective it is.

  • Within 24 hours: Some studies suggest Plan B can be up to 95% effective at preventing pregnancy.
  • Within 72 hours: The manufacturer states that Plan B reduces the risk of pregnancy by 81% to 90%.
  • Within 120 hours: While some effect may still be present, effectiveness drops significantly after 72 hours, and other options like the prescription pill Ella or a copper IUD are more reliable.

The Primary Reason Plan B Fails: Ovulation

Plan B is not an abortion pill and will not end an existing pregnancy. Its main mechanism of action is to prevent or delay ovulation—the release of an egg from the ovary. If you have already ovulated when you take Plan B, the medication cannot prevent fertilization, and it will be ineffective. This is arguably the most common reason for Plan B failure.

Factors that Influence Plan B's Fail Rate

Beyond timing and ovulation, several other factors can significantly impact the efficacy of Plan B.

  • Body Weight and BMI: Multiple studies have shown that Plan B may be less effective for individuals with higher body weight. Concerns typically arise for those weighing more than 165 pounds or with a body mass index (BMI) of 30 or higher. While the FDA has reviewed this data and found it inconclusive for a label change, some research suggests a decreased blood concentration of the active ingredient, levonorgestrel, in heavier individuals. For these individuals, prescription options like Ella (effective up to 195 pounds) or a copper IUD are often recommended as more reliable alternatives.

  • Drug Interactions: Certain medications can interfere with the way your body metabolizes Plan B, reducing its effectiveness. These include some anti-seizure medications, specific antibiotics, and the herbal supplement St. John's Wort. Always consult with a pharmacist or healthcare provider about potential interactions before taking Plan B.

  • Vomiting: Vomiting within two to three hours of taking Plan B can prevent the full dose from being absorbed by your body. If this occurs, it's recommended to contact a healthcare professional to determine if a repeat dose is necessary.

  • Storage and Expiration: Like any medication, Plan B can lose its potency if it is expired or stored improperly (e.g., in extreme heat). Keeping an unexpired package stored correctly is recommended for emergencies.

Comparison of Emergency Contraception Options

For those weighing their options, here is a comparison of the most common emergency contraception methods available:

Feature Plan B (Levonorgestrel) Ella (Ulipristal Acetate) Copper IUD (Paragard)
Availability Over-the-counter Prescription only Inserted by a clinician
Timeframe Up to 72 hours (3 days) Up to 120 hours (5 days) Up to 120 hours (5 days)
Weight Impact May be less effective for individuals over 165 lbs or with BMI > 30 More effective than Plan B for individuals over 165 lbs (up to 195 lbs) Not affected by body weight; most effective option
Effectiveness 81-90% reduced risk within 72 hours Higher effectiveness, particularly closer to ovulation and throughout the 120-hour window Over 99% effective
Duration Single-use emergency pill Single-use emergency pill Offers continuous long-term contraception for 10-12 years

What to Do If Plan B Fails

If you have taken Plan B and your menstrual period is more than a week late, it is recommended to take a pregnancy test. This is the only way to know for certain if the medication was unsuccessful. If the test is positive, consulting with a healthcare provider is the next step to discuss your options. It is important to remember that Plan B does not pose any known harm to an existing pregnancy or a developing fetus.

Conclusion

Plan B is a highly effective and safe emergency contraceptive when used correctly and in a timely manner. However, its effectiveness decreases significantly the longer a person waits to take it and is dependent on their ovulation cycle. Crucially, the pill is not effective if taken after ovulation has already occurred. While the overall effectiveness is high, variables such as body weight and certain medications can lower its success rate. For those seeking the most effective option, particularly individuals with higher body weight, or for use in the later end of the five-day window, a prescription-based option like Ella or the highly effective copper IUD may be a better choice. Plan B should always be considered a backup method, not a substitute for regular, reliable birth control. For a comprehensive overview of options, consult with a healthcare provider or a trusted resource like Planned Parenthood.(https://www.plannedparenthood.org/learn/morning-after-pill-emergency-contraception/which-kind-emergency-contraception-should-i-use)

Frequently Asked Questions

Yes. Plan B works by preventing or delaying ovulation. If you have already ovulated, the medication cannot prevent fertilization, and it will not be effective at preventing pregnancy.

The only way to be certain that Plan B worked is to get your next menstrual period as expected. If your period is more than a week late, you should take a pregnancy test.

Some studies suggest that Plan B may be less effective for individuals with a BMI over 30 or who weigh more than 165 pounds. For these individuals, a copper IUD or the prescription pill Ella may be more effective options.

Yes, if you vomit within two to three hours of taking Plan B, your body may not have absorbed the full dose of medication. It is best to consult a healthcare provider to see if you should take another dose.

Yes. The prescription pill Ella is effective for up to 120 hours, and the copper IUD is the most effective form of emergency contraception, over 99% effective when inserted within five days.

Yes, certain medications, including specific anti-seizure drugs, antibiotics, and the herbal supplement St. John's Wort, can reduce the effectiveness of Plan B by speeding up how the body processes the hormones.

If you become pregnant after taking Plan B, it is recommended to consult with a healthcare provider to discuss your options. It is reassuring to know that studies show Plan B does not cause harm to a developing fetus.

References

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Medical Disclaimer

This content is for informational purposes only and should not replace professional medical advice.