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Understanding What Are the Odds of Getting Pregnant If You're on the Pill?

5 min read

With typical use, about 7 to 9 women out of 100 on birth control pills will get pregnant each year. This reveals what are the odds of getting pregnant if you're on the pill, highlighting the critical difference between consistent, perfect use and real-world application.

Quick Summary

The effectiveness of birth control pills depends heavily on consistent use. While perfect use is over 99% effective, the real-world typical-use rate is lower due to human error and external factors.

Key Points

  • Perfect vs. Typical Use: Birth control pills are over 99% effective with perfect use (consistent, correct timing), but only about 91% effective with typical use (allowing for human error).

  • Missed Pills Increase Risk: Forgetting or delaying pills is the primary reason for a higher pregnancy risk, especially with progestin-only pills, which require a strict daily schedule.

  • Drug Interactions Matter: Certain medications (like rifampin for TB and some anticonvulsants) and herbal supplements (like St. John's Wort) can significantly decrease the pill's effectiveness.

  • Illness Can Affect Absorption: Severe vomiting or diarrhea can prevent the body from properly absorbing the pill's hormones, requiring backup contraception.

  • Consistency is Key: Maximizing effectiveness relies on taking the pill at the same time every day, using reminders, and having a backup method available.

  • Consider Alternatives: For those who struggle with consistency, long-acting reversible contraceptives (LARCs), such as IUDs and implants, are over 99% effective with minimal user error.

In This Article

The birth control pill is a highly popular and effective method of preventing pregnancy, but it is not infallible. Understanding the different rates of effectiveness and the factors that can influence them is crucial for any user. The odds of an unintended pregnancy while on the pill depend significantly on how consistently and correctly it is used, a distinction referred to as "perfect use" versus "typical use."

Perfect vs. Typical Use: Understanding the Odds

The difference between perfect use and typical use is the most important factor in determining the actual risk of pregnancy while on the pill.

  • Perfect Use: This describes the effectiveness of the pill when taken exactly as directed, every single day, at the same time, without fail. Under perfect use, birth control pills are over 99% effective at preventing pregnancy. This means that out of 100 people using the pill perfectly for one year, fewer than one will get pregnant.
  • Typical Use: This reflects how the pill is used in the real world, accounting for human error, such as forgetting a pill, taking it late, or starting a new pack late. With typical use, the effectiveness drops to about 91%. This means that for every 100 people on the pill for one year, about 7 to 9 may become pregnant. The discrepancy between these two numbers illustrates that inconsistency is the primary reason for pill failure.

How Birth Control Pills Prevent Pregnancy

Birth control pills contain synthetic hormones (either a combination of estrogen and progestin or progestin only) that work in several ways to prevent pregnancy.

  • Ovulation Suppression: The hormones stop the ovaries from releasing an egg, so there is no egg available for a sperm to fertilize.
  • Cervical Mucus Thickening: The hormones thicken the mucus on the cervix, creating a dense barrier that makes it difficult for sperm to travel through and reach an egg.
  • Uterine Lining Alteration: The pill thins the lining of the uterus. If a fertilized egg were to implant, it would have a more difficult time attaching and growing.

Factors That Can Reduce the Pill's Effectiveness

Several factors can compromise the effectiveness of birth control pills, increasing the odds of an unintended pregnancy. While inconsistent use is the leading cause, others include:

  • Missed or Late Doses: The most common reason for pill failure. The exact protocol for what to do depends on the type of pill and how many doses were missed, but any deviation from the daily schedule increases risk.
  • Illness: Severe vomiting or diarrhea can prevent the body from fully absorbing the pill's hormones. If this happens, it's advised to use a backup method of contraception.
  • Medication and Supplement Interactions: Certain drugs can interfere with the pill's metabolism, reducing its effectiveness. Key examples include the antibiotic rifampin (used for tuberculosis), certain antiseizure medications, and the herbal supplement St. John's Wort. It is a myth that common antibiotics for infections like strep throat or UTIs reduce the pill's effectiveness.
  • Bariatric Surgery: Some malabsorptive surgical procedures can affect how oral contraceptives are absorbed by the body, necessitating a different birth control method.
  • Improper Storage: Exposing pills to extreme heat, moisture, or direct light can degrade the hormones, rendering them less effective.

What to do if you miss a pill

The action you take depends on the type of pill you are on:

  • Combination Pill: If you miss one pill, take it as soon as you remember. You can take two pills in one day to get back on schedule. You do not typically need backup contraception unless you have missed pills earlier in the cycle. If you miss two or more pills, follow the instructions on your pill pack and use a backup method for the next seven days. Emergency contraception may be considered if pills were missed during the first week and unprotected sex occurred in the last five days.
  • Progestin-Only Pill (Mini-pill): This pill has a much stricter window. If you take a pill more than three hours late, you must use a backup method for 48 hours (two days). If you have had unprotected sex in the last five days, emergency contraception should be considered.

Pill vs. Other Contraception Methods: A Comparison

To put the pill's effectiveness into perspective, here is how it compares to some other common contraceptive methods.

Method Perfect Use Effectiveness (%) Typical Use Effectiveness (%) Effort Required
Birth Control Pill >99% 91% Daily Action
Implant >99% >99% None (after insertion)
IUD (Intrauterine Device) >99% >99% None (after insertion)
Injection (Depo-Provera) >99% 94% Periodic (quarterly) injection
Contraceptive Patch >99% 91% Weekly Application
Male Condom 98% 87% Per-Act Action

Tips to Maximize Your Protection

Consistency is the single most important factor for maximizing the effectiveness of your birth control pills. To minimize the risk of pregnancy, consider these tips:

  • Set a Daily Reminder: Use a smartphone alarm, a dedicated app, or a smart watch to remind you to take your pill at the same time every day.
  • Create a Routine: Take your pill in conjunction with a regular daily activity, such as brushing your teeth or eating breakfast.
  • Keep Pills Visible: Place your pill pack in a spot where you are sure to see it, like on your nightstand or next to your toothbrush, but away from direct heat and moisture.
  • Consult Your Doctor: Before starting any new medication or herbal supplement, confirm with your healthcare provider or pharmacist that it will not interact with your birth control.
  • Have a Backup Plan: Keep a backup method of contraception, like condoms, on hand in case you miss a pill or become ill.

Conclusion

While the birth control pill is an extremely reliable method of contraception with an impressive perfect-use effectiveness rate of over 99%, the odds of getting pregnant increase with inconsistent or incorrect use. With typical use, about 7 to 9 women out of 100 experience an unintended pregnancy annually due to human error. To maximize protection, consistent daily use is paramount. Users should be aware of factors like missed pills, illness, and certain medication interactions that can reduce effectiveness. For those who find daily pill-taking challenging, highly effective long-acting reversible contraceptives (LARCs) like IUDs and implants offer minimal user error and are excellent alternatives to discuss with a healthcare provider.

Frequently Asked Questions

Perfect use refers to taking the pill exactly as prescribed, every day at the same time, which results in over 99% effectiveness. Typical use reflects real-world habits, including occasional missed pills, leading to about 91% effectiveness.

With typical use, about 7 to 9 women out of every 100 get pregnant within a year of using the birth control pill.

If you miss one combination pill, take it as soon as you remember, even if it means taking two pills in one day. For a progestin-only pill, if you are more than three hours late, take the missed pill and use a backup contraception method for the next 48 hours.

No. While it is a common myth, the vast majority of antibiotics do not affect the effectiveness of the pill. Notable exceptions include rifampin and similar drugs used to treat tuberculosis.

While the odds are extremely low (less than 1 in 100 per year with perfect use), no contraceptive method is 100% effective. There is always a very small chance of pregnancy.

Yes. Long-acting reversible contraceptives (LARCs) like the IUD and implant are even more effective than the pill, with typical-use rates over 99% because they eliminate user error.

Stop taking the pills immediately. The hormones are not considered harmful to a developing fetus, but you should still inform your healthcare provider.

Yes, if severe vomiting or diarrhea occurs within a few hours of taking your pill, it may not be absorbed properly. In this case, use a backup birth control method for the next seven days.

References

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Medical Disclaimer

This content is for informational purposes only and should not replace professional medical advice.