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What are the odds of getting a blood clot on Xarelto?

4 min read

In one clinical study, almost 99% of adults taking Xarelto® did not have another DVT or PE after 6 months of initial treatment [1.2.1]. So, what are the odds of getting a blood clot on Xarelto for the small percentage who do?

Quick Summary

Xarelto (rivaroxaban) is highly effective in preventing blood clots, with studies showing low recurrence rates. However, factors like non-adherence, drug interactions, and underlying health conditions can still lead to clots.

Key Points

  • Low Recurrence Rate: Clinical studies show that the rate of recurrent blood clots (VTE) for patients on Xarelto is low, ranging from approximately 1% to 3% [1.2.2, 1.3.4].

  • High Efficacy: Almost 99% of adults taking Xarelto for a DVT or PE did not have a recurrence after 6 months of initial treatment [1.2.1].

  • Adherence is Critical: Missing doses of Xarelto significantly increases the risk of a clot due to the medication's short half-life [1.4.3].

  • Drug Interactions Matter: Certain medications, including some antibiotics and anticonvulsants, can reduce Xarelto's effectiveness [1.4.3].

  • Risk Factors for Failure: Conditions like antiphospholipid syndrome (APS) and active cancer can increase the likelihood of getting a clot despite treatment [1.4.2, 1.4.3].

  • Stopping is Risky: Discontinuing Xarelto without medical guidance can lead to an increased risk of blood clots [1.2.6].

  • Symptom Awareness: Knowing the signs of a DVT (leg swelling, pain) and PE (chest pain, shortness of breath) is crucial for seeking timely help [1.7.2].

In This Article

Understanding Xarelto and Its Purpose

Xarelto® (rivaroxaban) is a prescription anticoagulant, or blood thinner, used to treat and prevent blood clots [1.8.1]. It works by blocking Factor Xa, a key substance in the body's clotting process [1.3.4]. Doctors prescribe Xarelto for several conditions, including reducing stroke risk in people with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (A-fib), treating deep vein thrombosis (DVT) and pulmonary embolism (PE), and preventing blood clots after hip or knee replacement surgery [1.8.3]. A crucial aspect for patients is understanding its effectiveness and the rare instances where clots can still form.

Clinical Efficacy: Examining the Numbers

Clinical data shows Xarelto is highly effective. In studies, the rate of recurrent blood clots is low. For example:

  • After treating a DVT or PE, about 2.1% of people taking Xarelto had a recurrent DVT or a new PE during treatment [1.2.2].
  • When used for extended prevention (after 6 months of initial treatment), only 1.2% of patients on Xarelto experienced another DVT or PE, compared to 4.4% on aspirin [1.2.1, 1.3.2].
  • A real-world study known as XALIA found that recurrent blood clots occurred in 1.4% of patients receiving Xarelto, compared to 2.3% for standard anticoagulation therapy [1.3.4].
  • In a UK-based registry, the rate of symptomatic VTE recurrence was even lower, at 0.6% [1.4.7].

These numbers indicate that while the odds are very low, it is not impossible to develop a clot while on the medication. This is often referred to as treatment failure.

Why Can Blood Clots Still Occur on Xarelto?

Despite its high efficacy, certain factors can contribute to the formation of a blood clot even while taking an anticoagulant. These are known as breakthrough clots or treatment failures.

Key Contributing Factors:

  • Medication Non-Adherence: Missing even a single dose can lead to inadequate anticoagulation because direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) like Xarelto have a short half-life [1.4.3]. It is critical to take the medication exactly as prescribed without skipping doses [1.7.6].
  • Drug Interactions: Other medications can interfere with how Xarelto works. Certain anticonvulsants, HIV medications, and antibiotics can decrease Xarelto's effectiveness by as much as 50% [1.4.3]. Concurrently taking other drugs that increase bleeding risk, like NSAIDs (e.g., ibuprofen) or aspirin, also poses risks [1.5.2].
  • Underlying Medical Conditions: Certain conditions increase the risk of anticoagulant failure. Antiphospholipid syndrome (APS), an autoimmune disorder, is a significant risk factor; Xarelto is not recommended for patients with a triple-positive antibody profile for this condition [1.4.3]. Active cancers can also increase the risk of recurrent VTE [1.4.2].
  • High-Risk Situations: Specific procedures can elevate risk. Patients who have medicine injected into their spinal and epidural area, or undergo a spinal puncture, have a higher risk of forming a blood clot near the spine, which can be very serious [1.5.2].
  • Stopping Medication: Suddenly stopping Xarelto significantly increases your risk of forming a blood clot. Your doctor may prescribe another blood thinner if you need to stop taking it [1.2.6].

Comparison of Anticoagulants

When considering blood thinners, patients often compare Xarelto to older medications like warfarin or other DOACs like apixaban.

Feature Xarelto (Rivaroxaban) Warfarin (Coumadin, Jantoven)
Recurrence Rate (DVT/PE) In one study, 2.1% of patients experienced a recurrent DVT or PE [1.2.2]. In the same study, 1.8% to 3.0% of patients taking enoxaparin plus warfarin had a recurrence [1.2.2].
Major Bleeding Rate Rates in studies range from 0.8% to 3.6% [1.2.2, 1.3.4]. Rates in studies range from 1.7% to 3.5% [1.2.1, 1.2.2].
Monitoring No routine blood monitoring required [1.3.4]. Requires regular blood tests (INR) to ensure therapeutic levels.
Dosing Fixed daily or twice-daily dose [1.3.6]. Dose varies based on blood tests, diet, and other factors.

Recognizing the Signs of a Blood Clot

Even with a low risk, it's vital to know the symptoms of a blood clot. Prompt medical attention is critical.

  • In the Legs or Arms (DVT): Swelling, pain or tenderness (which may feel like a cramp), skin that is warm to the touch, and redness or discoloration [1.7.2].
  • In the Lungs (PE): Sudden shortness of breath, sharp chest pain (especially when breathing deeply), a rapid heart rate, and coughing up blood [1.7.1].
  • In the Brain (Stroke): Sudden severe headache, weakness in the face, arms, or legs (especially on one side), trouble speaking, and dizziness [1.7.4].

If you are on Xarelto and experience any of these symptoms, seek emergency medical help immediately [1.7.1].

Conclusion

Xarelto is a highly effective medication for preventing and treating blood clots, with clinical studies consistently showing a low rate of recurrent VTE, typically between 1-3% [1.2.2, 1.3.4]. The odds of getting a blood clot while on Xarelto are very low. However, this risk is not zero. Factors like missing doses, drug interactions, and coexisting health conditions like antiphospholipid syndrome can lead to treatment failure [1.4.3]. Patients should adhere strictly to their prescribed regimen, be aware of potential interactions, and immediately recognize and report any symptoms of a new blood clot to their healthcare provider.

For more detailed information, you can visit the official Xarelto patient website.

Frequently Asked Questions

The statistical chance is low. In clinical studies for extended prevention, about 1.2% of patients taking Xarelto had a recurrent DVT or PE after one year, compared to 4.4% of those taking aspirin [1.3.2]. Another study showed a recurrence rate of 2.1% during active treatment [1.2.2].

Yes, while it is uncommon, it is possible to get a pulmonary embolism (PE) while taking Xarelto. Studies show a low incidence rate of recurrent venous thromboembolism (which includes PE) among patients on Xarelto, around 1.4% to 2.1% in various studies [1.2.2, 1.3.4].

Because Xarelto has a short half-life, missing even a single dose can lead to inadequate anticoagulation and increase your risk of forming a clot [1.4.3]. If you miss a dose, you should take it as soon as you remember, but do not double up on doses. Contact your doctor for specific advice [1.7.6].

Studies have shown that Xarelto is generally as effective as warfarin in preventing recurrent blood clots [1.6.5]. One study noted a recurrent VTE rate of 2.1% for Xarelto compared to 1.8% to 3.0% for enoxaparin plus warfarin [1.2.2]. A key advantage of Xarelto is that it does not require routine blood monitoring [1.3.4].

Signs of a DVT (in a limb) include swelling, pain, tenderness, and warm, discolored skin [1.7.2]. Signs of a PE (in the lungs) include sharp chest pain, shortness of breath, rapid heart rate, and coughing up blood [1.7.1]. Seek immediate medical attention if you experience these symptoms.

This can happen for several reasons, including not taking the medication as prescribed (non-adherence), interactions with other drugs that reduce effectiveness, or having underlying conditions like antiphospholipid syndrome or cancer that create a very high risk for clotting [1.4.2, 1.4.3].

If you suspect you have a blood clot, you should call 911 or go to the nearest emergency room immediately. Prompt diagnosis and treatment are essential to prevent serious complications [1.7.1].

References

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Medical Disclaimer

This content is for informational purposes only and should not replace professional medical advice.