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Who is most likely to be prescribed opioids? Understanding the demographics and risk factors

5 min read

Data from 2020–2021 reveal that older adults (65+) in fair or poor health were significantly more likely to receive at least one outpatient opioid prescription. Understanding who is most likely to be prescribed opioids involves examining a complex interplay of demographic, clinical, and socioeconomic factors.

Quick Summary

Demographics like age, race, and socioeconomic status, along with health factors like chronic pain and mental illness, significantly influence who is most likely to be prescribed opioids and face associated risks.

Key Points

  • Age and Gender Disparities: Older adults (65+) and women are more likely to be prescribed opioids, with women also tending to receive higher doses for longer periods.

  • Socioeconomic and Health Status: Lower-income individuals, those on public disability insurance, and those in poor self-reported health have higher rates of both any opioid use and frequent use.

  • Racial and Ethnic Variations: Non-Hispanic White and Black individuals have higher prescription rates than Hispanic and other racial groups, though recent trends show shifting demographics in the overdose crisis.

  • Clinical Need and Risk Factors: Conditions like chronic pain, post-surgical recovery, and cancer-related pain are major drivers of opioid prescriptions. Co-occurring mental health disorders significantly increase the risk of misuse.

  • Geographic Influence: Opioid prescribing rates vary widely across the U.S., with higher rates observed in rural areas and Southern/Midwestern states.

  • Systemic Practices: Prescribing decisions are influenced by prescriber specialty and adherence to guidelines. Family medicine, internal medicine, and pain medicine specialists account for a large share of prescriptions.

In This Article

The landscape of opioid prescribing has shifted significantly in recent years, influenced by increased awareness of the opioid crisis, stricter guidelines, and evolving clinical practice. However, while overall prescribing rates have decreased, certain patient populations remain more likely to be prescribed these powerful painkillers due to a combination of clinical need and specific risk factors. Identifying these groups is crucial for targeted prevention, appropriate monitoring, and ensuring safe and effective pain management.

Demographic Factors Influencing Opioid Prescriptions

Analysis of prescription data reveals consistent trends among different demographic groups. These patterns highlight disparities that can impact both initial exposure to opioids and the risk of long-term use and misuse.

Age and Gender

  • Older Adults (65+): In 2020–2021, adults aged 65 and older had a higher average rate of filling at least one outpatient opioid prescription (12.8%) compared to younger adults (6.4%). Frequent use was also higher in this group, particularly for those in fair or poor health. However, older age can also lead to increased risk of adverse effects, sometimes prompting more conservative prescribing patterns.
  • Younger Adults (18–64): While their overall rate of prescription is lower than seniors, younger adults with poor health, disabilities, or lower socioeconomic status still show high rates of use. This population also faces significant risks for misuse and addiction.
  • Women: Across both age groups (18–64 and 65+), women are more likely than men to be prescribed opioids. For chronic pain in particular, women are more likely to be prescribed pain relievers, receive higher doses, and use them for longer periods.

Race and Ethnicity

Studies indicate variations in opioid prescribing and treatment access across racial and ethnic groups:

  • Non-Hispanic White Individuals: Historically, this group has had higher rates of prescription opioid use and overdose, partly due to less prescribing caution from physicians compared to minority groups.
  • Non-Hispanic Black and Hispanic Individuals: These groups have traditionally had lower rates of initial opioid prescriptions compared to Non-Hispanic White individuals. However, the landscape is shifting, with rising overdose rates among Black individuals due to the increasing presence of illicit fentanyl. Significant disparities also exist in access to medication for opioid use disorder (OUD), with lower percentages of Black and Hispanic adults receiving this vital treatment.

Socioeconomic Status and Geographic Location

  • Lower Income: Individuals with lower household incomes are consistently more likely to receive opioid prescriptions and experience frequent use. Problems paying bills and unemployment are also associated with higher rates of prescription opioid use.
  • Rural Areas: People living in rural (non-metropolitan) areas, particularly adults aged 18–64, are more likely to fill opioid prescriptions compared to those in metropolitan statistical areas. This trend is also observed among older adults in non-MSAs.
  • Southern and Midwestern States: Geographic variations show higher overall opioid dispensing rates in certain regions, with Southern and Midwestern states having some of the highest rates.

Clinical Conditions and Risk Factors

Beyond demographics, specific health conditions and personal histories significantly increase the likelihood of being prescribed opioids.

Chronic Pain Conditions

Opioids are frequently prescribed for chronic pain, though their long-term effectiveness is often debated, and the risk of dependence is high. Key conditions include:

  • Musculoskeletal issues, such as chronic low back pain.
  • Arthritis, which is associated with higher prescribing rates.
  • Severe neuropathic pain.

Post-Surgical Pain Management

Many patients receive a short-term opioid prescription after surgery to manage acute pain. However, overprescribing is common, leading to a surplus of pills that can be misused or diverted. The risk of developing persistent opioid use exists even after minor surgeries.

Mental Health and Substance Use History

Individuals with co-occurring mental health disorders and a history of substance abuse are at a significantly higher risk for opioid misuse, addiction, and overdose. Specific factors include:

  • Diagnosis of depression or anxiety.
  • Prior substance or alcohol abuse.
  • Risk-seeking behaviors.

Comparison of Opioid Prescribing Scenarios

To illustrate the different contexts, consider the following comparison of two common scenarios where opioids are prescribed:

Feature Acute Post-Surgical Pain Chronic Non-Cancer Pain (CNCP)
Primary Goal Temporary pain relief during recovery Ongoing management of persistent pain
Duration Short-term (typically a few days) Long-term (often months or years)
Risk of Misuse/Dependence Lower risk for short-term use, but prolonged use increases risk Higher risk of tolerance, physical dependence, and addiction
Common Prescribing Practice Often involves a combination of opioids and non-opioid medications Requires careful monitoring, risk screening, and pain management agreements
Associated Comorbidities Lower incidence of pre-existing mental health or substance use issues, though these factors increase risk Higher likelihood of co-occurring mental health disorders and comorbidities

Navigating Opioid Prescribing

For both patients and healthcare providers, a careful approach to opioid prescribing is essential to maximize benefits while minimizing risks. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) provide guidelines for prescribing opioids for chronic pain, emphasizing a comprehensive patient evaluation, careful patient selection, and cautious initiation and monitoring of therapy. This includes assessing a patient's social, medical, and mental health history before starting treatment. The guideline also encourages non-opioid alternatives for pain management.

One of the most important aspects is risk stratification, which involves identifying patients who are at a higher risk of misuse, abuse, or addiction. Factors like a history of substance abuse or mental health disorders should prompt a cautious approach. Monitoring compliance through Prescription Drug Monitoring Programs (PDMPs) can also help prescribers identify patterns of untrustworthy behavior or over-utilization.

Patient education is a critical component. Before initiating therapy, patients should be informed about the risks and benefits of opioids, proper use and storage, and safe disposal methods for unused medication.

Conclusion

While many patient populations receive opioid prescriptions for legitimate medical reasons, it's clear that certain factors increase a person's likelihood of being prescribed these medications. Demographics such as age, gender, race, and socioeconomic status, along with clinical factors like chronic pain, surgical procedures, and underlying mental health conditions, all play a role. The variations in prescribing practices across different specialties and geographic areas further highlight the complexity of the issue. Addressing these disparities and risks requires a multi-faceted approach, emphasizing responsible prescribing, comprehensive patient evaluation, and non-opioid alternatives where appropriate. Improved monitoring and widespread access to education for both providers and patients are essential steps toward mitigating the risks associated with opioid therapy.

For more information on best practices, the CDC offers a comprehensive set of resources, including the CDC Guideline for Prescribing Opioids for Chronic Pain.

Frequently Asked Questions

Individuals with a history of substance use, existing mental health disorders like depression and anxiety, and those on higher opioid doses or long-term regimens are at a higher risk of developing an opioid use disorder.

Yes, women and older adults are more likely to be prescribed opioids for chronic pain. Lower-income individuals and those living in rural areas also show higher rates of opioid prescription and frequent use.

People with mental health conditions, such as depression or anxiety, are more likely to be prescribed opioids for pain. This also puts them at a higher risk for opioid misuse.

Yes, national data from 2020–2021 show disparities in prescribing rates, with non-Hispanic White and Black individuals having higher rates than Hispanic and other racial groups, especially among older adults.

Opioids for post-surgical pain are intended for short-term use, but overprescribing is a concern. The risk of developing persistent opioid use exists even after minor elective surgery.

Factors like less access to alternative treatments, higher prevalence of health conditions, and potentially higher exposure to stress may contribute. Higher rates of Medicaid enrollment are also associated with higher opioid prescribing.

Based on 2016–2017 data, the largest proportions of opioid prescriptions were from family medicine, internal medicine, and pain medicine specialists. Prescribing patterns and volume vary significantly by specialty.

References

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Medical Disclaimer

This content is for informational purposes only and should not replace professional medical advice.